Norway first in Europe to hike interest rates

OSLO (AFP) - Norway on Wednesday became the first European country to raise interest rates this year in the global financial crisis, which it managed to overcome thanks to its huge oil revenues.

Related news:
• Sweden holds interest rate at record low

The Norwegian central bank raised its key demand deposit rate by a quarter of a point to 1.50 percent, the first step in what is expected to be a gradual tightening in monetary policy.

"Activity in the Norwegian economy has picked up more rapidly than expected," central bank governor Svein Gjedrem said.

Norway thus became the first European country to raise interest rates after economies around the world were hit by a sudden and severe downturn in the last quarter of last year.

Australia in early October and Israel in late August raised rates as well after their economies fared better than most during the meltdown.

The beginning of the global crisis is widely considered to have been marked by strains in the fund management sector and special intervention by the European Central Bank in early August 2007.

The crisis then took a radical turn for the worse in September 2008 with the collapse of US investment bank Lehman Brothers.

But Norway, buoyed by oil earnings and government stimulus measures, emerged relatively unscathed from the worldwide downturn, which brought the global economy to a virtual standstill.

After sustaining a brief bout of recession, the country returned to growth in the second quarter of the year, with most of its indicators now flashing green.

Mainland gross domestic product, which excludes oil revenues and maritime transport, is officially forecast to grow 2.1 percent next year.

And at 2.7 percent of the working population, the Norwegian unemployment rate is the lowest in Europe.

Several other factors would also support a rise in rates, notably heightened consumer spending, housing prices that have returned to pre-crisis levels and a fiscal policy likely to be slightly expansionist next year, according to the government.

The central bank on Wednesday hinted at a further hike in the coming months.

It said that between now and 2010, the benchmark rate should come to between 1.25 and 2.25 percent, or a median level of 1.75 percent that would suggest additional tightening.

"The key policy rate should... be raised gradually," said Gjedrem, the bank governor.

For Nordea analyst Katrine Boye, cited by Dow Jones Newswires, "the rate path projection didn't surprise us that much in the short-term."

She added that Norwegian financial authorities "are projecting a hike at more or less every second meeting between now and end 2010."

Camilla Viland of DNB NOR Markets said the prohections made by the central bank suggest four more hikes next year, "two more than what we expected."

But a growing differential between Norwegian rates and those in other Western countries could drive up the value of the krone and hamper exports.

The bank, which next meets December 16, said Wednesday that if the krone were to appreciate more than had been foreseen, interest rates could rise less sharply or more slowly than has been planned.

• SIGN UP FOR FREE NEWSLETTER • ALL BREAKING NEWS ON TWITTER

Last Updated (Wednesday, 28 October 2009 20:24)

 
Most Read Searched  

OPINION


Stefan Löfven

President, trade union IF Metall
"We will not pay the bill for the crisis"


Johan Hakelius
Journalist and author
Why Swedes find individualists annoying


Tommy Jacobson
CEO of investment company Varenne Investment AB
“Financial institutions are socialist bastions”


Mats Bergman

Trade Commissioner, Swedish Trade Council in Beijing
'No one will drag Swedish companies to China'


Alan M Webber
Founder of Fast Company, author of Rules of Thumb
How ‘awful’ Swedish socialism can boost business


Edin Mujagic
Macro-economist and author
“Swedes to become much richer with the euro”


Dr. Moshe Kantor
President, European Jewish Congress
“The story derive from age-old anti-Semitism”


Urban Bäckström
Director General, Confederation of Swedish Enterprise
“Allow schools and care facilities to make profit”


Emil Didrikson and Therése Elofson
Momentum Stockholm
“How music festivals will manage the hard times”


Alf Rehn
Chair of Management, Åbo Akademi University
“Swedish leadership a doubtful export hit”

johannorberg_325
Johan Norberg
Pro-globalist and author
“Let the troubled banks fall”

ff_325
Camilla Littorin and Per Lidström
Association for small business
“Ownership transaction hampered by the crisis”

gudrunschyman_325
Gudrun Schyman
Feminist Initiative's candidate for the EU Parliament
“We will combat male dominated boardrooms”

mae-liz-orrego-rodriguez_325
Mae Liz Orrego Rodriguez,
Liberal party's candidate for the European Parliament
“Russian gas a security threat to Europe”

ella_kristdemokraterna_325
Ella Bohlin,
Christian Democrats’ candidate for the EU Parliament
“EU needs open Europe-wide healthcare choice”

dawit_isaak_325
Agneta Lindblom Hulthén,
President of the Swedish Union of Journalists
“Release Swedish journalist Dawit Isaak”

 

 

twitter_logo_header_325
Follow The Swedish Wire on Twitter
- get the latest update as they are published
http://twitter.com/swedishwire