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Sweden hikes key rates as economy booms



• Swedish krona the star of the European exchange
• Will a too strong krona spoil the Swedish party?

Sweden’s central bank on Tuesday hiked its most important key interest rate for the fifth time since July as the country’s economic booms and its currency rallies against the euro.

Repo rate was raised by 0.25 percentage points to 1.5 percent, the Riksbank said in a statement, adding that the repo rate needs to be raised somewhat faster in the coming period. It now expected its key rate to reach 2.5 percent by the beginning of next year, up from its previous forecast of 2.2 percent.

"The Swedish economy remains strong, and the labour market situation is steadily improving. Exports and investment are increasing, and so is household consumption", the Riksbank said.

Sweden's economy has rebounded strongly following the global recession, growing nearly 7 percent year-on-year in the third quarter. But raising inflation is a threat to the economy, the Riksbank said.

"Underlying inflationary pressures are still low in Sweden, but are expected to increase as economic activity strengthens. Rising energy and commodity prices also contribute to higher inflation. To stabilise inflation close to the target of 2 per cent and to avoid resource utilisation being too high, the repo rate needs to gradually increase".

The Swedish krona, which has long been rising, hit its strongest level against the euro in 10 years after the Riksbank's announcement. Just minutes after the announcement, it cost 8.73 kronor to purchase a euro then subsequently fell to 8.77 kronor.

Analysts said the rate-hike was expected.

"This was very anticipated, that they raised it by 25 points and hiked the trajectory a bit. I think there were expectations that they would do even more," Tor Borg, a rates analyst with Swedish state-owned mortgage institute SBAB told the TT news agency.


Forecasts for inflation in Sweden, GDP and the repo rate
(Annual percentage change, annual average)

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

CPI

-0.3 1.3 (1.3) 2.5 (2.2) 2.1 (2.0) 2.6 (2.6)
CPIF 1.9 2.1 (2.1) 1.9 (1.7) 1.5 (1.4) 2.0 (1.9)

GDP

-5.3 5.5 (5.5) 4.4 (4.4) 2.4 (2.3) 2.5 (2.4)
Repo rate, per cent 0.7 0.5 (0.5) 1.8 (1.7) 2.8 (2.6) 3.4 (3.3
Note. The assessment in the December 2010 Monetary Policy Update is shown in brackets.

Forecast for the repo rate (Per cent, quarterly averages)

Q4 2010

Q1 2011

Q2 2011

Q1 2012

Q1 2013 Q1 2014

Repo rate

1.0 1.4 (1.4) 1.7 (1.6) 2.5 (2.2) 3.2 (3.1) 3.6
Note. The assessment in the December 2010 Monetary Policy Update is shown in brackets.

Last Updated (Tuesday, 15 February 2011 11:08)

 

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