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Political chaos credit negative for Sweden

Moody’s Investors Service published today its latest Issuer Comment for Sweden. The report analyses Sweden’s Riksdag decision to vote down the minority government’s 2015 budget proposal and to approve the centre-right opposition Alliance’s shadow budget proposal instead.

Moody concludes that the events are credit negative for the sovereign because they increase policy uncertainty and delay policy implementation. Indeed, according to the now-caretaker prime minister, the new elections will be held on 22 March, hence a new government will not be formed for several months. The Rikstag is now using the opposition budget to set fiscal policy for 2015.

Moreover, this political crisis creates unusual political uncertainty in Sweden, a country where politics have historically been characterized by a high degree of stability and consensus, with some opposition parties usually supporting the government’s budget when a minority coalition is in power.

This general harmony across political parties and pragmatic decision making has guaranteed policy continuity and efficient coalition governance for more than four decades, with six coalitions out of 13 governments since 1970. The defeat of the budget and the organization of snap elections, which has happened only one other time in 1958, challenges this consensus-led model and reflects Sweden’s recently rising political fragmentation.

 

Last Updated (Tuesday, 09 December 2014 03:12)

 

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